Presidency on Election Night

We have been watching 13 states since Labor Day and at least 11 remain competitive (are within margin of error) today.

Many of these states have swung back and forth between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. These states in rank order by electoral votes are:

1. Florida – 29
2. Pennsylvania – 20
3. Ohio – 18
4. Michigan – 16
5. North Carolina – 16
6. Georgia – 16
7. Arizona – 11
8. Colorado – 9
9. Nevada – 6
10. Iowa – 6
11. New Hampshire – 4 

As the map shows, in the West, Trump appears ahead in Arizona and Nevada, but Clinton up in Colorado. Polls have tightened in most swing states the last week, but Trump’s path to victory is still considered much more challenging than Clinton’s. Also, her organization is built upon, and possibly better than, the Obama Election Day super machine in 2012.

FiveThirtyEight refers to electoral vote projection – 302 Clinton. RealClearPolitics projects 272 “no toss-up” Clinton.