Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Metro Denver Sales Tax Revenue Growing

Map

The sales tax revenue in the seven-county Denver metro area in 2025 was up 1.47% above 2024. That was a continuation of the modest improvement in 2025 after two years of flat sales tax growth in 2023 (0.5%) and 2024 (0.1%).

The total revenue collected in 2025 was $87.5 million from one-tenth of a cent provided the Scientific & Cultural Facilities District (SCFD). As of July 2026, the District is slated to receive $51 million or a 2.7% increase. That will likely add about $2 million to the 2026 total revenue or $89 million. The District diverts for administration and statutory obligations about $2 million per year.

Denver Metro Area Sales Tax Revenue

Monday, September 14, 2026

Colorado Ballot Leans Right on Culture and Left on Taxes

Colorado State CapitolColorado State Capitol | Photo: Library of Congress Carol Highsmith

Not since 1992 and the historic TABOR Amendment has there been more important tax and spending propositions on the ballot. This year, the 14 propositions lean both right and left in terms of their purpose and supporters.

Ten of the propositions are cultural in nature. They all lean right and are sponsored by conservative organizations (e.g. Advance Colorado). Among the four propositions that are related to government funding three are backed by liberal groups and causes (e.g. Bell Policy Center, education and conservation groups). One conservative tax-related proposition is on the ballot, a protection of the flat tax which counters the graduated income tax proposal (Advance Colorado).

2026 Ballot Issues

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

School Districts Ask Millions in Operating Funds

Students head into Newlon Elementary School to begin the 2026–27 Denver Public Schools school year on Monday, Aug. 24, 2026, in Denver. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post)Students head into Newlon Elementary School to begin the 2026–27 Denver Public Schools school year on Monday, Aug. 24, 2026, in Denver. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post)

Colorado’s 3 largest school districts join more than a dozen others putting local property tax increases on the ballot for operating costs.

DPS wants $44 million mill levy override
Douglas $54 million
Jefferson $133 million

The funding is primarily for teachers’ salaries and other programs and services.

Jessica Seaman reports in the Denver Post about the school district requests and the obstacles they face. Political consultant Steve Welchert believes the measures must deal with a flat economy and a crowded ballot.

Also, along with a myriad of local tax measures, several statewide tax propositions attempt to raise revenue for K-12 education (Prop 195, NN). However, I pointed out that in spite of challenges, Colorado voters have been generous to schools and teachers in recent years.

“Affordability is the No. 1 issue politicians are talking about this election, but Coloradans historically tend to support increasing tax revenue for schools,” pollster Floyd Ciruli said.

“The public tends to be fairly generous with teachers and education – continuing to value it and continuing to increase the property tax load,” he said.

Thursday, September 3, 2026

Should Polls be Banned?

Denver Country Club

Polling has had a difficult summer. The Michigan and Wisconsin primaries’ polls were off by more than ten points. There have been reports of fake polls, dozens of new pollsters with no track record, and the end of live phone interviews.

Floyd Ciruli, a longtime Colorado pollster and adjunct professor of polling, will address the problems with the Tuesday Morning Club on October 13 at the Denver Country Club.

Many European states regulate polling but it is mostly the wild west in the U.S. Among my topics: Is polling in trouble or is this year not much different than past mid-term primary elections? And, as Coloradans get ready to vote, what should they look for to judge good, shoddy or fake polls?

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Can Democrats Go for Eight?

The final U.S. House district map- 9News via Colorado Independent Redistricting CommissionThe U.S. House district map.
Image: 9News via Colorado Independent Redistricting Commission

As President Donald Trump's approval rating drops below 40% (FiftyPlusOne 36%) and the generic congressional ballot test hits 6 points and higher for Democrats, the possibility that Colorado Democrats could aspire to winning more than just the toss-up 8th district comes into view.

Colorado Congressional Districts

The DC-based rating services consider that after Congressman Gabe Evans’ district (Democrat Manny Rutinel) the next most vulnerable is Republicans Jeff Hurd on the Western Slope 3rd and Jeff Crank in the El Paso-based 5th. But for Democrats to be competitive it will require high quality, well-funded candidates with some of the populist anti-DC, anti-establishment politics that's shaking up congressional races today.

The Lauren Boebert 4th CD would be the most difficult to be competitive in based on past performance. But Democrats argue this is the year to shoot for the moon. And indeed they have some credible candidates in all three longer-shot races (Democratic candidates: Dwayne Romero, 3rd, Eileen Laubacher, 4th, Jessica Killin, 5th).

Also, with the likelihood that Senator Michael Bennet won't run again in 2028 after his 14 point loss to Phil Weiser for governor, no doubt has Joe Neguse, Jason Crow and Brittany Pettersen thinking about the U.S. Senate.

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

National Dashboard: Government of Uncertainty

President Donald Trump displays a signed executive order during an event in the Oval Office of the White House, August 27, 2026 in Washington.President Donald Trump displays a signed executive order during an event in the Oval Office of the White House, August 27, 2026 in Washington. Photo: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

Peggy Noonan called it a presidency in a persistent state of precarity. Her takedown of his behavior was titled "Trump is starting to look precarious". Americans agree. In the last month he has lost support and is now 40% approval on the conservative website RealClearPolitics. On the more neutrally curated site FiftyPlusOne, his approval is 36% with disapproval of 60% - a 24-point net negative, and a record low.

National Dashboard 08-30-2026

The latest House midterm projections show Democrats winning between 23 to 29 seats. They need 3 to take a majority.

House Projections

Key factors helping the Democrats:

  1. Trump approval now at or below 40%.
  2. The generic ballot test about 6 for Democrats.
  3. The persistence of the war in Iran and its effect on the economy.

RELATED:
Midterm Panic July 22, 2026
Trump Doesn’t Have the Cards May 26, 2026
National Dashboard: Iran Takes Trump Down April 6, 2026
National Dashboard: Trump in Retreat Feb 23, 2026
Trilogy on Trump’s Declining Approval Dec 15, 2025
Trump Approval Collapses and November 4 Turns Blue Nov 20, 2025

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Generation Gap is Wide

D1 candidate Melat Kiros' supporters cheer as a second round of election results dropped in her favorD1 candidate Melat Kiros' supporters cheer as a second round of election results dropped in her favor, widening her lead over incumbent Diana DeGette. June 30, 2026.
Photo: McKenzie Lange/CPR News
Current politics is roiled by a significant generational conflict most dramatically between Gen Z (18 to 26 year olds) and Baby Boomer (59-80). They selected different candidates in primaries and the value differences shown below are stark: patriotism, belief in God and religion, having children, believing America is the best place to live, and preference for socialism.
Generation Gap Table