Friday, October 9, 2026

Ballots Are Out: Will Colorado Move Left or Right?

 A ballot drop box is seen outside the downtown office of the Denver Elections Division on June 28, 2022. (Quentin Young/Colorado Newsline).A ballot drop box is seen outside the downtown office of the Denver Elections Division on June 28, 2022. (Quentin Young/Colorado Newsline).

Mail back voting is underway. Drop boxes open Monday. The state’s 14 ballot propositions could dramatically change the tax architecture and increase spending on education and conservation. Equally important, ten initiatives, mostly of conservative origin, are what I called “an alternative governing model using the ballot initiative process” (Axios).

In a John Frank writeup on the big election fights in Wednesday’s Axios, I point out that Advance Colorado has created “a powerful counter to the Democratic Legislature and the general liberal cultural zeitgeist.”

The director of the organization, Michael Field, has the influence of the TABOR movement of the 1990s but without the difficult and unpleasant Doug Bruce and his statewide network of volunteers. Field uses money and think tank research to access the ballot. In some cases, the threat of going to the ballot puts him, his perspective and interest group funders at the legislative table and in the governor’s office.

Thursday, October 8, 2026

Denver Press Club: Should Election Polls Be Banned?

Denver Press Club

The Denver Press Club is hosting an election session on polling at 6:00 p.m. October 13 at the Club, 1330 Glenarm Place, downtown Denver. Floyd Ciruli, a longtime Colorado pollster and adjunct professor, will discuss polling’s current problems.

It has had a difficult summer. The Michigan and Wisconsin primaries’ polls were off by more than ten points. There have been reports of fake polls, dozens of new pollsters with no track record, and the end of live phone interviews.

Floyd Ciruli will address these problems with Axios reporter/editor John Frank and Jesse Paul of the Colorado Sun. Also joining are pollsters Lori Weigel of New Bridge Strategies and Alex Dunn of Aspect Strategic. Many European states regulate polling, but it is mostly the wild west in the U.S. Among Ciruli’s topics: Is polling in trouble, or is this year not much different than past midterm primary elections? And, as Coloradans get ready to vote, what should they look for to judge good, shoddy or take polls.

RELATED:
Polling Asserts Its Purpose Sep 28, 2026
Polling’s Difficult Season Sep 21, 2026
Should Polls be Banned? Sep 3, 2026

Tickets are free, but you can RSVP HERE.

Monday, October 5, 2026

National Dashboard: Republican Retreat

President Donald Trump gestures at a campaign rally at The Mitchell Center in Mobile, Ala., Friday, Oct. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)President Donald Trump gestures at a campaign rally at The Mitchell Center in Mobile, Ala., Friday, Oct. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

As the midterm election nears its November 3 conclusion, Republicans are in retreat across the board. Although prodigious amounts of funds keep many campaigns competitive, they are mostly on the defensive. The media environment is flooded by stories of Republicans getting distance from Trump and the administration’s politics.

National Dashboard

The latest House midterm projections show Democrats winning between 25 to 43 seats. They need 3 to take a majority.

House Projections 09-2026

Key factors helping the Democrats:

  1. Trump approval now at or below 39%.
  2. The generic ballot test about 8 for Democrats.
  3. The persistence of the war in Iran and its effect on the economy.

RELATED:
Midterm Panic July 22, 2026
Trump Doesn’t Have the Cards May 26, 2026
National Dashboard: Iran Takes Trump Down April 6, 2026
National Dashboard: Trump in Retreat Feb 23, 2026
Trilogy on Trump’s Declining Approval Dec 15, 2025
Trump Approval Collapses and November 4 Turns Blue Nov 20, 2025

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

All Big City Mayors Need a Mamdani Picture

Johnston and Mamdani in New York for the Urban20 SummitJohnston and Mamdani in New York for the Urban20 Summit. Photo: Mike Johnston for Mayor
Mayor Johnston’s reelection campaign had a strong start and is carefully picking its campaign associates given the local political environment.

Monday, September 28, 2026

Polling Asserts Its Purpose

Harry Truman 1948 (L) Archibald Crossley, Elmo Roper and George Gallup
(R)

Using a random sampling and door-to-door interviewing 90 years ago, three pollsters predicted a Franklin Roosevelt win. He won in a landslide. Since that dramatic beginning, polling has become a multi-billion dollar industry that dominates politics and political reporting in most advanced democracies.

Do the purposes and benefits that the pioneers articulated still hold? The founding troika of George Gallup, Elmo Roper and Archibold Crossley wanted to get the common American into the room where political decisions were made. They had a strong desire to counter special interests with popular opinion. Gallup, in particular, articulated the benefit of being able to focus on specific issues and providing insights between elections.

It took the missed election result in 1948 when Thomas Dewey was predicted to be the winner that Harry Truman said famously, “That’s not how I heard it,” to motivate pollsters to form an association to improve standards and address inadequacies in methods.

Polling’s purposes and credibility will be discussed at the Tuesday Morning Class (DCC) and Denver Press Club on October 13.

Friday, September 25, 2026

Georgetown Law Stepped Up During Watergate

As he boards the White House helicopter after resigning the presidency, Richard M. Nixon smiles and gives the victory sign. Photo: Bettmann Archive/Getty Images

Georgetown Law worked tirelessly in the late 1970’s to improve the legal environment post-Watergate. One example, in 1976 Sam Dash, who famously was chief counsel for Senator Ervin’s Watergate Committee, taught a strengthened ethics class.

During and after Watergate, Georgetown Law professors and alumni were heroes in the effort to strengthen statutory and legal norms and conventions that had been disregarded and violated. Recall that the Attorney General and White House Counsel went to jail with many other attorneys. Professors from numerous law schools assisted in court cases with Judge Sirica; they aided the Ervin and Rodino committees and worked for years on statutory remedies.

Georgetown Law and other top law schools who were so productive in the 1970’s have a model to help restore the legal and legislative guardrails as America moves beyond 2026.

Presidents & Georgetown Law

Monday, September 21, 2026

Polling’s Difficult Season

Floyd Ciruliat DU’s Maglione HallA record crowd of more than 250 people attend Amb. Chris Hill and Floyd Ciruli presentation after the surprise 2016 election to review the polling and forecasting of the national and international fallout.

The Trump era has been especially challenging for public opinion polling and its media sponsors. The problem was dramatically highlighted in November of 2016 when polling had shown Hillary Clinton winning the voting population by 2 to 4 points (she won by 2.1%) and was projected to carry the electoral vote by 100 or more. She lost it famously by 77 in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

I had the opportunity with the DU Korbel School Dean Christopher Hill to describe to a very unhappy audience what happened. See picture above at DU’s Maglione Hall.

This has been another difficult year for polling. Talking about polling’s purpose, usefulness and efforts to get it right will take place on October 13 at the Tuesday Morning Class(DCC) and later at the Denver Press Club.