The latest Berkeley IGS Poll shows Adam Schiff and Katie Porter in a close race for Feinstein’s California senate seat. Schiff tends to emphasize the dangers to democracy in DC from former President Trump and Porter points to economic inequity and the impunity of big corporations.
Porter is slightly ahead today in the California top-two primary scheduled for March 2024, with one declared Republican candidate, Eric Early, winning 15 percent of the vote. Porter received 18 percent, Schiff at 14 percent, and Barbara Lee in third with 9 percent.
The Democrats have some distinct constituencies with degree of liberalism and geography significant. Table shows groups at least 4 points beyond the candidate’s overlap support.
A third of the voters (32%) did not have an opinion on the candidate sufficient to make a choice, with the largest percent among 18 to 29 year olds (42%).
Two candidate surveys confirm this race is wide open with the candidates running close.
Berkeley IGS Poll was conducted May 17-22, 2023, with 5,236 registered Republican voters (±2.5 percentage points).
Release #2023-05: March 2024 Senate primary election remains wide-open affair: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5gk3z8qc