DeSantis ahead in February, Trump in May, with Cheney in third tied with Pence.
This should be an interesting primary to watch. It’s ten months out so expect the voter swing recently reported by the Berkeley IGS poll to continue. Examining the data, political commentator Floyd Ciruli describes the shift between Ron DeSantis ahead of the field in February to Donald Trump taking an 18-point lead in the latest May poll as showing a still open field where further change could happen quickly.
Many new candidates are entering the race and Governor DeSantis has started campaigning in Iowa, the first Republican nomination state. Mike Pence went to Iowa and then filed to run. Also in Iowa last week was Tim Scott, who just joined the race with his fellow South Carolinian officeholder, former Governor Nikki Haley. Liz Cheney, former Wyoming congressperson, often shows up in Republican primary polls!
Berkeley IGS Poll was conducted May 17-22, 2023, with 1,853 registered Republicans (± 3.5 percentage points). Done in partnership with the LA Times.
Release #2023-07: Trump opens up big. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8j93p7sj