Can the Democrats Win the House?

The Democrats need to win 23 seats to take the U.S. House of Representatives. The midterm elections should be a good year for Democrats, but 23 seats is a substantial number, given the small number of swing districts and the fierce battle that is expected. Professor Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball suggests it’s a 50-50 toss-up that the Democrats can get the 23 seats they need.

Sabato claims Democrats have 199 seats safe or leaning toward them, and Republicans similarly have 208. Hence, out of the 28 identified toss-up seats, they need, 68 percent, or 19, to get to 218 – a high percentage, but possible.