Friday, September 25, 2020

Trump Depressing the Republican Ticket

 For Colorado Republicans, 2020 is beginning to look like the disastrous 2018 election. Polls show close partisan races in Douglas County, a bastion of Republican strength; the Third Congressional District, which has been rated for years as “lean” or “likely” Republican; and, of course, the U.S. Senate race where incumbent Cory Gardner can’t close the five points he’s behind Democrat John Hickenlooper.

The problem for the Republican candidates is Donald Trump, who was mostly responsible for the across-the-board defeats by 10 points or more of the entire Republican ticket in 2018, down to county sheriffs, clerks, treasurers and assessors, with a few exceptions. One exception was Scott Tipton, Republican incumbent from Cortez who had won handily for more than a decade and easily beat his challenger, Diane Mitsch Bush, by 8 points.

In a blog post, I examine the polling and why it could be a close race today. Joey Bunch in Colorado Politics headlined: Floyd Ciruli examines wisdom in polls showing Western Slope lean.

L to R: Dem. Diane Mitsch Bush, pollster Floyd Ciruli
and Rep. Lauren Boebert | Colorado Politics photo

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