Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Presidential Race Dead Heat Pre-Debate

CNN to host 2024 Election Presidential Debate June 27CNN to host 2024 Election Presidential Debate June 27

President Biden has closed the popular vote race with Donald Trump but is still behind when third party candidates are included and in battleground states as they enter the June 27 debate.

Third-party candidates now get 10 percent, down a couple of points since January and a likely trajectory as the race gets closer to November. RFK Jr. remains the pack leader with 7 points. Biden is behind in four battleground states and even in Michigan and Wisconsin. He’s close in Pennsylvania (down 2 points).

Presidential Polls
Below is a polling average drawn from RealClear Politics (RCP) with regular comparisons to FiveThirtyEight (ABC News) website, Gallop, and other credible polls.

Presidentail Polls June 15 2024

If the election was today, Biden would most likely lose. The current polling reflects about a 4 to 5 point decline in Biden’s position compared to November 2020 when he won the national vote by 4 points (51% to 47%) and all six of the battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Trump Confident, Dems Stressed 5/15/24
One Point Presidential Race 4/4/24
Biden Narrows Gap 2/27/24
Biden Loses Presidential Election Today. Colorado Win Likely Cut in Half 2/14/24
Republican Nomination Race is About to Begin or Is It Over? 1/3/24

No comments: