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Democrats are safe in both the House (super majority) and Senate (near super majority). Very little or no partisan movement is expected. But there will be a fight to gain or stop super majority. In Senate, Republicans must hold their 12 seats to stop Democrats from super majority (23-12). They have to gain 3 seats in House to end Democrats super majority (46-19), not likely.
Context
- Republican state chair running for Congress. Poor job of state legislative recruiting, not much fundraising.
- Democrats have primary won with far left House members but safe seats.
- Action this year is in Congressional races with three Republican open seats (primaries between MAGA and Establishment).
- Many ballot propositions reflecting tax and cultural battles left over from legislature.
READ: The Center for Politics - 2024’s Battleground State Legislative Chambers
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