Major Upset? Final Polls vs. Results

If Mitt Romney wins the presidential election, it will be a major upset. Polling and the Washington-based political establishment believe President Obama will win a sufficient, if modest, majority in the Electoral College and eke out a bare win in the popular vote.

As the final battleground map shows, out of the nine identified battleground states, Romney only wins three (red).

And, polling shows his effort to expand into Pennsylvania, Michigan and Minnesota does not, as of Friday before the election, show success in moving the numbers (light blue).

If Obama carries all the states he’s ahead in as of November 2, he will win with 290 electoral votes to Romney’s 248 votes.