Friday, May 2, 2025

Guardrails Punish Trump

President Volodymyr Zelensky with President Trump in the Oval OfficePresident Volodymyr Zelensky with President Trump in the Oval Office
Photo: Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Trump at the 100-day mark in his administration hits guardrails that are damaging him politically. On January 24, four days after Trump’s inauguration, the Buzz established five guardrails to watch that would serve as measures of his government’s performance. They contain data that is hard to ignore.

His approval ratings are across the board bad. Overall job approval went from 49 percent after the inauguration to 45 percent today and from a net 6 percent positive to a net 7 percent negative.

Five Guardrails

Importantly, he is losing his economic credibility with the Dow shaving off more than 4,000 points after it had jumped to 44850 eight days after the inauguration in anticipation of tax cuts and deregulation. But near universal criticism both in the U.S. and abroad that tariffs will cause inflation and possibly a recession has damaged his reputation. Trump’s economic approval is now under water by 13 points and foreign policy, the same. His rating and handling inflation is worse at a negative 20 points. Even immigration, his erstwhile strongest issue, is now one point negative.

A host of new polls at Trump’s 100-day mark show that he has lost the modest public support he had. James Carville was right – Trump would collapse, maybe quicker than even he anticipated. Or as some might say, “He doesn’t have the cards.”

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