Every poll, and all but the most MAGA pundits, has Kamala Harris winning the debate. Now the question is will it move the people to vote? Ten days after the debate, Harris has moved up in the popular vote. She now has a two-point lead, 49 percent to 47 for Donald Trump, but battleground states are very close (48% to 48%).
The Democrats are up 2 points over Republican congressional candidates but control of the House is decided district by district and many observers believe Republicans have a slight advantage. The two most competitive Senate races are in Montana and Ohio. Republicans have the current lead in Montana and Democrats in Ohio, giving them a 51 to 49 national lead as of today.
Presidential Polls
Above are polling averages drawn from RealClearPolitics (RCP) with regular comparisons to FiveThirtyEight (ABC News) website, Gallup, and other credible polls.
Polls showing Harris Won the Debate
Harris seen as debate winner while maintaining slight lead over Trump
Gary Langer, ABC News (9/16/24)
Majority of American say Harris won the debate
Chris Jackson, Sarah Feldman, Johnny Sawyer, Ipsos (9/16/24)
CNN Flash Poll: Majority of debate watchers say Harris outperformed Trump onstage
Ariel Edwards-Levy, CNN (9/11/24)
Harris wins the debate: Voters say she has clearer plans and tells fewer lies than Trump
Taylor Orth, David Montgomery & Carl Bialik, YouGov (9/12/24)
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