Thursday, July 9, 2015

Greeks Say No – 61%; Late Polls Say 50-50?

The left wing Syriza government wins a no vote in a snap election Sunday, July 5. Final results were 61 percent to 39 percent. A total of 6.1 million votes, a little over half the electorate.

Most Greek polls predicted a close election, with a slight lead for the ‘no” vote, including those on July 4 and conducted in late June. But the series of polls just as news coverage became most intense from June 30 to July 3 showed the “yes” position in the lead within the margin of error, with 10 percent or more undecided. Reporting covered it as razor close.

The polling in this election will no doubt be added to the growing list of recent polling mishaps.

See The Buzz:
Europeans Pick Least Hardworking and Most Corrupt
Populist Left Takes Command of Greece
The Europe of Brussels is Dead

Also see:
FiveThirtyEight: The Polls Were Bad in Greece. The Conventional Wisdom Was Worse.
Huffington Post: Why the Polls in Greece got it Wrong

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