Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Colorado in Center of Rocky Mountain West Presidential Politics

Beginning with Bill Clinton’s election in 1992, Colorado is the Mountain West state that has shifted positions the most between the two parties. New Mexico is the most Democratic-leaning western state voting Democratic tickets all six times.

The four western states the most dependably Republican are Alaska, Idaho, Utah and Wyoming, never missing a chance to vote for a Republican nominee. Colorado, with its three Democratic votes – Bill Clinton in 1992 and Barack Obama twice (2008 and 2012) – and Republican in the other three elections (Dole 1996 and G.W. Bush 2000 and 2004), will be the most fought over in the 2016 election.

Nevada is our closest neighbor in terms of being competitive, but leaning Democratic. It gave Clinton two narrow wins in the 1990s, supported Bush twice, and then provided big wins for Obama in 2008 (12 points) and 2012 (6 points).

Colorado voters can expect to see a lot of TV advertising in 2016.

1 comment:

Dave Barnes said...

Nevada at 4 makes no sense