![Trump and DeSantis](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0qNO5FpUmow10IB1xpoihagNguTDO2szBKA8xZv2AdkTmrh7zpGs8_NwEfMl6CQ1oaqdigM3FE8UOwkAwtmv1SZRGTZS-LfxFBJknulcxkEC8kC00fcPjv3tuGTo8fxSGrM1IbVVIncVvG66-KssQUhbjDCGI4TqU51Xilw7dd1k_OPt3xccBZhI8SQ/s1600/_127562255_gettyimages-1055820228.jpeg)
Although former President Donald Trump, like most recent Republicans, has not done well in California general elections, he swept the Republican primaries in both 2016 (75% against Kasich, Cruz, and others) and 2020 (92%). But today he is losing to Governor Ron DeSantis among Republican primary voters by 8 points, a dramatic reversal from August of 2022 when he was ahead by 9 points. It is also notable that 60 percent of these voters prefer DeSantis or some other candidates than Trump.
![2024 Presidential Preferences Poll](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEisXQB0GzYKAT978R8jVQdXZWrWEkQtOXyu8oWPRNbiCkFz02grPAJnpGowSrEQSUECaT6KoWlJr_Z8fVNe7XO-WSLN9pCV2XND3n9-9agFQkfuK51-PwTbMKToO6rtCHVTD1kqDvr629_3MNpYnh7Cwlolv6PsYR9-mFdgaWRQ6hmkOmw5OZzT-OZKWw/s1600/2024-presidential-preferences-poll.jpg)
He is still winning his high school-educated base by 15 points, but losing every other education category from some college and trade school education to post-graduate work (28 points). Trump and DeSantis are tied for support with Republican women (30%, DeSantis / 31% Trump) but men support DeSantis by 16 points (43% DeSantis to 27% Trump).
Trump’s support has contracted to his original base of the “least educated”. It mostly reflects the poor midterm election performance which gave him a reputation as a loser and cost him many of California’s Republicans who want a winning candidate.
Berkeley IGS Poll was conducted February 14-20, 2023, with 1,755 registered Republicans (± 3.5 percentage points).
Release #2023-02: Biden job ratings rebound in California, but most still oppose a re-election bid. DeSantis vaults ahead of Trump in state’s GOP presidential primary. (escholarship.org)
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