The Buzz: Harris is Projected to Win Colorado by Ten Points or More

Friday, October 11, 2024

Harris is Projected to Win Colorado by Ten Points or More

Vice President Kamala Harris shakes Donald Trump's Hand at Presidental Debate
Photo: Saul Loeb | Afp | Getty Images

Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Colorado by 11 points which is unlikely to be altered by Trumps trip to Aurora (53% Harris, 42% Trump) (poll by Keating Research Inc. 9/14/24). In 2020, Joe Biden won Colorado by 13 points. Earlier this year, when Biden was behind by 2 points or more national polls, he would have still won Colorado but by a diminished 7 or 8 points or about half his 2020 win.

Today, Harris is near a very substantial win in spite of only being ahead of the popular vote by 2 points. That should be comforting for Yadira Caraveo, Democratic Congressman, in a very difficult reelection campaign in Colorado 8th District.

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Ciruli Associates

Mr. Ciruli is president of Ciruli Associates, a public policy and research firm based in Denver, Colorado, and Orange County, California.

Mr. Ciruli is a Senior Fellow at the University Colorado Denver School of Public Affairs. He will join a lecture and panel program on the 2024 election. He has taught public opinion and media at the Denver School of Public Affairs.

Mr. Ciruli was the founding Director of the Crossley Center for Public Opinion Research at the University of Denver’s Josef Korbel School of International Studies. He was an adjunct professor of public opinion and foreign policy.

Mr. Ciruli holds a law degree from Georgetown University in Washington, D.C. and a bachelor’s degree cum laude in political science from UCLA. He is a member of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), and is the past-president of the Pacific Chapter of AAPOR (PAPOR). Mr. Ciruli was vice-chair of the Social Science Foundation of the University of Denver Josef Korbel School of International Studies and past-president of the Georgetown Law Alumni Board and the Denver Athletic Club.

Mr. Ciruli is widely known to Colorado audiences as a pollster and political analyst. In 2016, Mr. Ciruli was inducted into the Denver Press Club Hall of Fame.

Friday, October 11, 2024

Harris is Projected to Win Colorado by Ten Points or More

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