Early Indicators Point to a Bad Republican Year in 2018

As of now, few national political forecasters suggest the Republicans will lose the House or suffer losses in the Senate, but current indicators and history suggest if Congress and President Trump don’t improve their performances, it could be grim in 2018.

Presidents’ reputations tend to dominate mid-term elections and the first mid-term is historically difficult. In 1982, President Ronald Reagan lost 26 Republican members. In 1992, President Bill Clinton lost 52 Democratic members and the House, and in 2010 President Barack Obama lost 63 members along with the House.