Friday, October 28, 2016

Colorado Presidential Vote

The Colorado presidential turnout has been increasing rapidly in this century with the state’s population surge. The initial jump of 21 percent in the 2004 election was the current record.

There are mixed views as to the Colorado presidential vote turnout this year with two controversial and broadly unpopular candidates at the top of the ticket and a non-existent race for Senate.

It is unlikely Colorado will produce 3 million votes by November 8, but the total presidential vote should increase 200,000 and get to 2.8 million.

Factors making turnout less predictable:
  • Will Millennials be inspired to turn out? African Americans?
  • Are weak poll numbers discouraging Trump’s angry white vote? Will some Republican moderate voters simply skip it?

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