Once again, the British polls missed the full late surge of Labour, although they captured the race closing. In my blog of June 7, British Election Draws Closer, I cited what most British pundits now agree were the major causes of the upset:
- May’s poor campaign performance, Corbyn’s new style and anti-austerity proposals
- Conservative election platform problems, Conservatives lost control of the narrative
- A still divided electorate and anti-establishment attitudes
- The youth vote, which failed to show up in the Brexit vote, came out in strength for Labour. They were mostly anti-Brexit and Labour offered a soft Brexit position (keep as many ties as possible, less harsh on immigration). May offered a hard exit from the EU. They also liked Labour’s anti-austerity positions.
- The Brexit fight may be over in terms of leaving the EU, but the disagreements on how to do it are just beginning.