But the current dissatisfaction (see The Buzz: Anger with government top problem) appears enough to endanger even congresspersons in less competitive districts? Gallup reports that only 17 percent – a record-low – believe “most members deserve re-election” and only 46 percent believe their own congressperson “deserves re-election.” Other recent lows in re-election sentiment were in 2010, 2006 and 1994; in each case the control of the House of Representatives shifted.
But, since the unhappiness with Congress is bipartisan, it’s not clear which party might be advantaged at this point. ABC/Washington Post’s latest poll shows the Republican congressional brand with only a one-point edge. However, Democrats are losing every age group except the youngest, the least likely to turnout in a midterm election.