Vice President Kamala Harris | Photo Middle East Images via Getty ImagesKamala Harris has a two-point lead (RCP) in popular votes at the end of debate week (September 14). She won the debate but the fight for the White House is in seven battleground states. The advantage shifts frequently between Harris and Donald Trump as each new poll is posted, usually with differences within the margin of error. Joe Biden and Trump fought in the same states in 2020, meaning the other 43 are still rated mostly safely decided.
Biden was 4 or more points behind in the southern tier of states, Georgia to Nevada during his debate week (June 27). It was closer in the north tier of states from Wisconsin to Pennsylvania but he was still behind. Today Harris is winning 3, losing one (Arizona) and tied in three (Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina). But her appeal to younger voters, minorities, and women has changed the calculations.
Presidential Polls
Above are polling averages drawn from RealClear Politics (RCP) with regular comparisons to FiveThirtyEight (ABC News) website, Gallup, and other credible polls.
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