Two-Point Senate Race

The latest Colorado voter poll by Republican political action committee, American Crossroads,
confirms previous polls. Senator Mark Udall is ahead as of mid-April of Congressman Cory Gardner 45 percent to 43 percent. Colorado may have given President Obama two presidential wins, but in off-year elections it is two-point state.

After $2 million in attack ads from both sides, the race remains locked, with a slight incumbent advantage (see March 2014, Udall vs. Gardner– Déjà Vu). Another Democratic PAC for the environment, the LCV, will spend one million dollars the next several weeks attacking Gardner.

Three polls since Gardner entered the race on February 26 have shown a two-point or less race with the incumbent ahead.

• The latest poll from American Crossroads shows that Obama’s approval numbers in Colorado are somewhat worse than the national average (Real Clear Politics average: 43% to 50% national; Crossroads in Colorado: 41% to 55%, a negative 14 points).
• The ACA continues to be a drag on the incumbents, but possibly not fatal. ACA is approved by 41% of Colorado voters and disapproved by 54%. Six out of ten say it will influence their vote.
• Udall’s approval rating is weak in this poll, with only 38% approving and 46% disapproving – a negative 8 points.