Colorado Senate Race Now Most Watched

When Cory Gardner entered the U.S. Senate race in late February, it managed to elevate Colorado to the status of one of the dozen of races that were considered winnable by Republicans in their quest for six seats and control of the Senate.

Two factors have now moved the seat to the top 5 or 6 being watched. First, after two months and six reported polls, the race is dead even, with Udall ahead by a point or two. At least one credible poll (U.S. Chamber) showed him behind. This deadlock status continues after approximately two million dollars in media advertising, mostly negative aimed at both candidates, has been spent.

 

 

The second factor is that several polls in other states show vulnerable Democratic incumbents in

Sen. Mark Udall, endangered

states Mitt Romney won ahead or competitive. A cause of consternation for both the pundits and their models that had begun predicting a Republican pick up of at least six seats since mid-March.

As Sens. Hagan (NC), Landrieu (LA) and Pryor (AR) look less vulnerable, Mr. Udall moves up the list from threatened to endangered.

See:

Public Policy Poll 4/17-20/14
Rasmussen: Election 2014: Colorado Senate
American Crossroads: Colorado Senate poll
U.S. Chamber of Commerce, internal survey obtained exclusively by POLITICO
Quinnipiac Poll: Economy, healthcare hurt Udall in Colorado race
New York Times: Close races in 4 southern states could tip Senate power balance
The Buzz: Two-point Senate race