Vice President Harris will begin her campaign with President Biden’s political position. Sabato's Crystal Ball projects Biden with 196 electoral votes and Trump with 312 (July 18, 2024). CNN John King has Trump at 320. RealClearPolitics put it 325 Trump and 213 Biden.
By Sabato's Crystal Ball analysis, the toss-up states are battleground states: Minnesota (10), Virginia (13), Maine (2), New Hampshire (4) and Nebraska (1). According to Sabato leaning Republican today are: Wisconsin (10), Michigan (15), Pennsylvania (19), Georgia (18), Arizona (11) and Nevada (6).
Hypothetical Electoral College ratings via The Center for Politics
Democrats need to resolve their leadership crisis quickly and prepare for the August 19 convention in Chicago. Any benefit they gain from new candidates and convention drama will have a very large electoral hole to fill.
READ: If Biden Stays: A Glimpse into a Grim Electoral Future for Democrats
"Democrats need to resolve their leadership crisis"
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