President Joe Biden begins his re-election year in negative public opinion territory with a record low approval rating and behind in head-to-head polls with frontrunner Donald Trump. As the figure below shows, Biden’s problems began after the Afghanistan withdrawal, August 2021 and never recovered.
The National Dashboard is a platform showing the state of public opinion for the President and presidential election. It tracks key indictors on the economy, direction of the county, and competition for the U.S. House of Representatives.
While Biden is in trouble, Republicans could lose their majority and narrow control of the House after months of chaos and a new Speaker. In the Senate Republicans have the advantage with fewer vulnerable seats up. Democrats already expect to lose the Joe Manchin seat in West Virginia. Incumbents in Montana, Ohio and Arizona are especially vulnerable.
The opening predictions on January 1st, 2024, Democrats win narrow majority in House, lose Senate and White House. But it's a long 11 months with many twists and turns.
It’s refreshing to read a non-partisan assessment of national politics rather than an emotional and irrational opinion piece.
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