Monday, March 7, 2022

Rally Effect for Biden

The first poll since the State of the Union shows what I expected. Biden was going to benefit from a rally effect from Ukraine and the confluence of good news delivered around the State of the Union. He received an 8-point rally effect in an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll since their last poll in February. Democrats were up 11 points and independents 10 points. Even Republicans bumped up 4 points. If this rally is confirmed with additional polls or is sustained over time remains to be seen, but it was welcome news for Democrats.

Issues

Biden’s approval went up handling three main issues: Ukraine, pandemic and the economy.

  • Ukraine: Up 18 points to 52%. Democrats went up 27 points, independents 17 points.
  • Pandemic: Up 8 points to 55%.
  • Economy: Up 8 points to 45%.

Speech

The speech itself last Tuesday (3-1-22) was popular among the who watchlist (71%). It was judged making people feel optimistic (67%) and proud (53%) (CBS News poll). Of course, the audience tends to be more interested in politics and government and favorable to the speaker, but Biden needed a boost with supporters and appears to have received it.

President Joe Biden delivers his State of the Union address,
March 1, 2022 | Saul Loeb/Pool/Getty Images

Read The Buzz: Will Biden Get a Bump From Putin?

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