If Biden wins, America First is gone, but American workers will be a touchstone. Those policy initiatives in Trumpism that feature manufacturing and U.S. workers may be modified, but the goals remain. A Biden administration will shift focus and rhetoric to alliances, democracy, human rights, climate change and internationalism, like the UN and WHO, but it will have to adjust to new realities outlined below.
Considering U.S. and world trends, reflected in public opinion and political actions, several policy aspects of the last four years will still be around if the administration changes:
- Populism and polarization. Intense ideological division and charismatic-style leaders able to exploit it are a feature in western democracies.
- Hard borders. Nationalism that is leading to hostility to immigrants and refugees has worldwide appeal.
- Free trade. Globalism is in retreat and protectionism, tariffs and other barriers to free trade are in accedence.
- Isolationism. Reducing America’s international military and financial commitments are supported by both parties, but with different philosophies and emphasis.
- China conflict. Rivalry between China and the U.S. is not likely to dissipate and could intensify and expand.
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