Thursday, September 3, 2020

Early Polls – Still Biden Advantage

Donald Trump needed a bounce from his convention. In fact, he needed a leap. He was losing on average 7.4 points before the event and is losing this week by 7.2 points according to the RealClearPolitics average posted yesterday, Wednesday, September 2.

Today’s results aren’t much better in the battleground states. A new Fox News poll conducted in Arizona, North Carolina and Wisconsin through September 1 shows Trump losing to Biden by an average of 7 points. All three Republican senate candidates are also on the defensive.

Fox News Poll
Arizona, North Carolina and Wisconsin


Arizona
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Biden
49%
50%
50%
Trump
40
46
42
Difference
  9
  4
  8
Source: Fox News, 8/29-9/1, 2020
Format: Ciruli Associates 2020

Political Polls: Can we trust them?

I just did a political podcast for the University of Denver online radio on the accuracy of polls:
  • What happened to the polls in 2016?
  • Are they better today?
  • Biden’s ahead, but Trump has strengths
  • Is there a Silent Majority being missed in the polls?
Listen to the podcast here

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