Thursday, February 13, 2020

Did Crow Win or Lose in Impeachment?

Jason Crow was a surprise impeachment manager for the House. In a long article in the Colorado Community Media, a sprawling suburban newspaper network, Ellis Arnold presents the pros and cons in Crow’s selection and the impact on his reelection.

I mostly suggested it was a net positive for Crow and that his performance was well received. But, just as it raised his profile, it put a target on his back.

“I'm kind of cynical — I don't think that anything the House managers did was going to sway any Republicans,” Ciruli said. But if anything stood a chance, focusing on military arguments was the ticket, he added.

Although Crow's performance didn't move the needle among Senate Republicans, it established the lawyer as an “up-and-coming” Democrat, Ciruli said.

Ciruli, the pollster, noted that Crow garnered much media coverage. “He was seen,” Ciruli said. “It's both good for him and, in a way, good for Colorado.”

Crow's prosecution of the president is likely to draw the Democrat more negative attention, Ciruli said.

But “the tradeoff to him was more than worth it,” said Ciruli, adding that the Republican base in Crow's district has diminished in recent years. And “the tradeoff is worth it, frankly, with unaffiliateds.”

Although approval of Trump among voters in Crow's district is likely “upside-down” — lower than Trump's disapproval — the president has seen a recent uptick in support nationally, said Dick Wadhams, political strategist and a former chair of the Colorado Republican Party.

Wadhams argued the impeachment process “backfired on the Democrats” but also pointed to the health of the economy as factors that explain Trump's bump.

“I think it's conceivable that Trump is in a better position in the 6th Congressional District than he was in 2018, but we have no numbers to show that yet,” Wadhams said.

Impeachment managers, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerry
Nadler ( R) and House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff (C),
lead as Rep. Zoe Lofgren and Rep. Jason Crow follow on their way to the
Senate on Capitol Hill in Washington, Jan. 16, 2020 | Julio Cortez/AP

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