Udall vs. Gardner – Getting Out the Vote

Incumbent Senator Mark Udall is assumed to be slightly ahead of Republican challenger Cory Gardner. But, Udall’s success depends on overcoming a midterm turnout weakness in critical supporters. Recent polls show Udall winning Hispanics, Millennial voters and, of course, Democrats by substantial numbers. Two polls – PPP and NBC/Marist – provide some metrics on the core groups’ percentages in the electorate.

Udall’s goal is to increase his winning margin among his base groups, but also maintain or increase turnout of these groups. He needs non-Anglo voters to be approximately a quarter of the population, Democrats to be a third and Millennials to be above 15 percent.