Gallup reports that the candidate who is ahead in its national poll after the New Hampshire primary is the prohibitive favorite. In 2008, McCain led (33%) over Huckabee (19%), Bush was ahead (56%) in 2000 and Dole (41%) in 1996.
In the January 3 Gallup tracking poll, Romney barely led Newt Gingrich. After Tuesday’s results, Romney’s lead is now 15 points over Newt Gingrich.
Although Romney only wins 31 percent of Republican votes against the current Republican field, when matched against President Obama, he runs within 2 percent. Most Republicans are lining up behind him. Opposing Obama is the party’s strongest motivation for voting.
Romney is seen by 60 percent of Republicans as the candidate likely to win the nomination, and a majority (59%) find him acceptable. Of course, Romney’s low level of Republican support against the field may later presage a lower level of enthusiasm among fellow partisans in the general election.
See Gallup polls:
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