Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Could 2014 be a Wave Election?

Colorado moved to the left in the 2012 presidential election, but 2014 could look like 2010 – a Republican wave election.

Turnout in non-presidential years is lower and key Democratic constituencies that have been activated by President Obama may stay home.  Young voters, which gave Obama 60 percent of their vote in 2012, made up 19 percent of all voters, but they were only 12 percent in 2010.

Early polling indicators are mixed. Obama’s approval ratings have gone south. His negative is now higher than his positive. But, the generic ballot test, one of the best tests of how a federal election will go, is still in Democrats’ territory.

Is there a decent Republican who wants to be a U.S. Senator? They should run in 2014 – things could start to break Republican.

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