As shown in the chart below, Romney would win the popular vote by 1,350,000, but Obama would win the electoral vote with 290, or 20 more than needed.
Hence, twelve years after the disputed and still controversial 2000 election that put Texas Governor George Bush in the White House with 271 electoral votes after Vice President Al Gore won the popular vote by 540,000, a U.S. election would be in a similar position.
- Electoral College. A crisis of legitimacy for the Electoral College, which has little public support. Liberals don’t support it and conservatives would be unlikely to defend it.
- Presidency. A weakened Barack Obama who with barely 50 percent approval going into the election comes out even weaker.
- Polarization. An electorate that is polarized on every aspect of its choice for national leaders and approach to top issues; i.e., robust government vs. austere government.
- Gridlock. Washington remaining in the gridlock that has characterized much of the last four years, especially on national financial decisions.