Six Months Out – Colorado Republicans Maintain a Lead in Senate Race
Republican Senate frontrunner Jane Norton has maintained a consistent single digit lead over Democrats Michael Bennet and Andrew Romanoff since the beginning of the year. Presently, her lead is seven points against each candidate. Norton is 48 percent to 41 percent against Bennet and 46 percent to 39 percent against Romanoff.
Considering the general election sample frame Rasmussen uses, Bennet and Romanoff have only been separated by a couple of percentage points. Romanoff appeared to lead the first two months of the year, and is slightly behind today. The shift may reflect Romanoff’s early advantage as a non-incumbent being replaced by Bennet’s recent television advertising.
Bennet must have some concern with the fact that after his spending he’s still running behind Norton, who has done little to establish herself as a strong presence in the field.
Although Norton is better known than her rivals, Ken Buck and Tom Wiens, when the three are placed against Michael Bennet their scores are very similar, with Buck equaling her most recent numbers, possibly reflecting his surge among party regulars at the March caucus. Ms. Norton decided to abandon the party convention approach and petition onto the ballot
Floyd Ciruli founded Ciruli Associates, a research and consulting firm specializing in public policy and research, in 1985.
Mr. Ciruli holds a law degree from Georgetown University in Washington, D.C. and a bachelor’s degree cum laude in political science from UCLA. He is a member of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), and is the past-president of the Pacific Chapter of AAPOR (PAPOR). Mr. Ciruli is the Director of the Crossley Center for Public Opinion Research at the University of Denver Josef Korbel School of International Studies. He is an adjunct professor teaching public opinion and foreign policy. Mr. Ciruli is a board member of the Social Science Foundation of the University of Denver Josef Korbel School of International Studies and past-president of the Georgetown Law Alumni Board.
Mr. Ciruli is widely known to Colorado audiences as a pollster and political analyst for 9-KUSA TV, KOA Radio and The Denver Post. Most recently, he has appeared on Fox News with Neil Cavuto. In September 2016, Mr. Ciruli was inducted into the Denver Press Club Hall of Fame. He hosts the state’s leading blog for politics and trends at www.fciruli.blogspot.com.